Being certain of epistemic uncertainty

I’ve been dancing around Probability Theory, it’s history, application, and weeding out what is Frequentist from what is Bayesian. The. Relating it to Rational Psychology. I’m not there, getting there, but not there.

This isn’t what I do full time but it is what I think about when I’m not working, parenting, or socialising. Thankfully it’s not interesting to friends and family so I get a break from it myself! 😆

Today I revisited the timeline I created about 4 months ago, I’ve implemented a simple Bayesian Belief agent and the theory is flowing - I’m nearly at Dempster-Shafer !

Still parked Bayesian Networks as too much to do elsewhere, however to my Sigma[ p(x) × log_2 (1/p(x)) ]* I made progress in a spare couple of hours this morning.

Don’t want to forget that this progress was made - hence this post 🤓🔥

*That’s the formula for surprise!